SportsMulti-outcomeExpires Dec 31, 2026

Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Probability

73¢

+0.0pp

24h

+5.5pp

24h Vol

$95.11

Liquidity

$904.80

Probability (last 7 days)

-2.0pp 7d

Apr 18, 2026, 15:00Apr 25, 2026, 11:53

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice

0s agoResolve
Market resolves in 5988.1h
LOW
11:53Signal
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5988h with open resolution ambiguity.
LOW
11:00Price
Probability down -3.0pp
to 73¢
MEDIUM
09:00Price
Probability down -3.0pp
to 73¢
MEDIUM
08:00Price
Probability down -3.0pp
to 73¢
MEDIUM
06:00Price
Probability down -3.0pp
to 73¢
MEDIUM
05:00Price
Probability down -3.0pp
to 73¢
MEDIUM
03:00Price
Probability down -5.0pp
to 71¢
MEDIUM
02:00Price
Probability down -5.0pp
to 71¢
MEDIUM
00:00Price
Probability down -4.0pp
to 72¢
MEDIUM
23:00Price
Probability down -4.5pp
to 72¢
MEDIUM
21:00Price
Probability down -3.0pp
to 74¢
MEDIUM
20:00Price
Probability down -9.0pp
to 68¢
MEDIUM
18:00Price
Probability down -9.0pp
to 68¢
MEDIUM
17:00Price
Probability down -9.0pp
to 68¢
MEDIUM
16:00Price
Probability down -9.0pp
to 68¢
MEDIUM
14:00Price
Probability down -8.0pp
to 68¢
MEDIUM
12:00Price
Probability down -8.0pp
to 68¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -7.5pp
to 68¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -7.0pp
to 69¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -6.0pp
to 71¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -5.5pp
to 71¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -5.0pp
to 72¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -5.0pp
to 71¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -3.0pp
to 74¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -3.0pp
to 74¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -3.0pp
to 74¢
MEDIUM

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

Same eventWho will be UFC Middleweight champion at the end of 2026?

Category · Sports

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Middleweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk

End date: Dec 31, 2026
UMA status: n/a
Resolution source: the official UFC Middleweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ETAmbiguous wordingextracted · low
Market type: Multi-outcome (neg-risk)

Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.

Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).

Top Holders

20 wallets

YES

Open on Polymarket