Vague-Industrialization
0x7c398d39ffc6599a27c642cc17e6e039d0e21aed
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
104
Open notional
$28.56
Total PnL
$-510.54
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 104- NO
Will Anwar Ibrahim cease to be Prime Minister of Malaysia by December 31, 2026?
14 shares @ 69.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.45
$1.45
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 23?
7 shares @ 28.6¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$4.30
$2.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 23?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$2.83
$1.83
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 23?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 44.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$2.75
$1.75
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on July 23?
3 shares @ 30.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$1.42
$0.42
- YES
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.09
$0.09
- NO
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?
26 shares @ 3.8¢·now 3.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.90
$-0.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 23?
3 shares @ 35.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.81
$-0.19
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 23?
2 shares @ 48.0¢·now 26.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.54
$-0.46
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 23?$1.03Jul 23, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 23?$1.04Jul 23, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 23?$1.04Jul 23, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 23?$1.05Jul 23, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C on July 23?$1.03Jul 23, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 37°C on July 23?$1.04Jul 23, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 23?$1.03Jul 23, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on July 23?$1.05Jul 23, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on July 23?$1.03Jul 23, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 23?$1.03Jul 23, 01:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 22?$3.13Jul 23, 01:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 22?$2.63Jul 22, 18:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on July 22?$2.27Jul 22, 18:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 22?$3.03Jul 22, 17:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 22?$3.33Jul 22, 16:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 22?$2.44Jul 22, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on July 23?$1.05Jul 22, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on July 23?$1.05Jul 22, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on July 23?$1.05Jul 22, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 23?$1.04Jul 22, 16:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $1.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 16:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 02:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.