Piercing-Rethinking
0x7c40ef7f42e7a081b61aec21a62cde1cd0371465
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$62.40
Total PnL
$-2.05
Realised
$-0.45
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
63 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$62.40
$-0.03
- YES
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 18, 2026?
396 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.79
- YES
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
378 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-0.76
- YES
Will Nottm Forest win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
11 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-0.02
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 1, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$62.46May 30, 16:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$64.83May 24, 09:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 24, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 22, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$66.14May 21, 09:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.85May 9, 12:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$63.47May 9, 12:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 6, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $51.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 6, 00:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".