General-Measles
0x7c4af53d867380eebc162b5f3fb0b7496b9af939
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$10.22
Total PnL
$-307.28
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
4 shares @ 97.3¢·now 95.9¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$3.94
$-0.06
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
3 shares @ 93.3¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.17
$0.17
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
3 shares @ 91.7¢·now 75.2¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$2.46
$-0.54
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
3 shares @ 31.6¢·now 11.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.37
$-0.63
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.28
$-0.72
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- SEVILLA FC
Spread: Sevilla FC (-2.5)
130 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- ELCHE CF
Spread: Elche CF (-2.5)
106 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 27?
80 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
53 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMZug (Doubles): Merino/Ricca vs Loof/Uesugi$1.08Jul 22, 16:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:06 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$1.00Jul 21, 19:59 UTC
- REDEEMValorant: ORA Temper vs Revenge (BO3) - VCT Game Changers North America Group Stage AND Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs SEN Otters (BO3) - VCT Game Changers North America Group Stage$1.09Jul 21, 14:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bernie say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Minneapolis Rally?$1.03Jul 21, 01:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?$1.00Jul 20, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: ORA Temper vs Revenge (BO3) - VCT Game Changers North America Group Stage AND Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs SEN Otters (BO3) - VCT Game Changers North America Group Stage$0.99Jul 20, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill London have less than 30mm of precipitation in July?$1.01Jul 20, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$1.00Jul 20, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Minneapolis Rally?$1.00Jul 20, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$1.00Jul 20, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 20?$1.00Jul 20, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$1.03Jul 20, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 20?$1.00Jul 20, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in July?$1.00Jul 20, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYZug (Doubles): Merino/Ricca vs Loof/Uesugi$1.00Jul 20, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$1.00Jul 20, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?$1.00Jul 20, 21:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$1.03Jul 20, 13:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$60.88Jul 20, 01:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $1.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 6, 22:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 16:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.