Fortunate-Thongs
0x7c5282d4422406d6545398a8e6f6cae52f432c08
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$4.13
Total PnL
$-47.97
Realised
$-0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.17
$0.00
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.96
$-0.02
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on December 20?
5286 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-5.29
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 27?
1116 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.23
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 19?
1112 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-6.67
- YES
Will the price of XRP be less than $0.90 on March 14?
1108 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.22
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,500 on February 16?
1098 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.29
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on April 3?
1088 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.18
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on May 11?
1084 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.17
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 20?
1081 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.16
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Baidu have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$3.17Jul 3, 09:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$3.37Jul 1, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 18?$1.1KJun 18, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 18?$1.1KJun 18, 01:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 17?$1.1KJun 17, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 17?$1.1KJun 17, 02:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on June 16?$1.1KJun 16, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on June 16?$1.1KJun 16, 02:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on June 15?$1.1KJun 15, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on June 15?$1.1KJun 15, 02:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 14?$1.1KJun 14, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 14?$1.1KJun 14, 05:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 13?$1.1KJun 13, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 13?$1.1KJun 13, 02:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 12?$1.1KJun 12, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 12?$1.1KJun 12, 01:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,300 and $1,400 on June 11?$1.1KJun 11, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,300 and $1,400 on June 11?$1.1KJun 11, 03:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on June 10?$1.1KJun 11, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on June 10?$1.1KJun 10, 03:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $464.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 6, 01:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 09:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.