Fluid-Environment
0x7c62a324e35ab667b857b87cae82be593937cfe0
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
55
Open notional
$2.64
Total PnL
$-514.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 55- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 3.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.75
$-3.25
- YES
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
31 shares @ 12.9¢·now 2.9¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$0.89
$-3.11
- YES
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?
1512 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will 1750 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?
743 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-15.65
- YES
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026?
391 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 23, 2026 (ET)?
344 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Ilhan Omar be charged with fraud?
328 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
294 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?
250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?
196 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US accuse Iran of Oslo Embassy attack?$7.00Mar 10, 23:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?$6.82Mar 10, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$10.00Mar 6, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$4.00Mar 4, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on March 9, 2026?$5.00Mar 4, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026?$2.42Mar 4, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?$5.00Mar 4, 20:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another country strike Iran by March 7?$16.59Mar 4, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country strike Iran by March 7?$5.00Mar 3, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on March 5, 2026?$5.00Mar 3, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?$10.00Mar 3, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?$2.00Mar 3, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?$10.00Mar 3, 14:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?$32.40Mar 3, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?$14.00Feb 28, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$10.00Feb 28, 23:36 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iraq by February 28?$23.58Feb 28, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 6?$5.00Feb 28, 14:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Leeds United FC win on 2026-02-28?$4.72Feb 28, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?$5.00Feb 28, 10:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $9.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 23, 23:49 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 10, 23:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.