Lone-Birdhouse
0x7c7009d76d5b263f888c3eec0717f832d6ac543f
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$5.23
Total PnL
$-43.10
Realised
$-0.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
4 shares @ 95.3¢·now 95.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.24
$0.00
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 97.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 14?
6414 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-12.83
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on April 30?
2093 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.19
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 6?
2088 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-4.18
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 9?
2077 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-4.15
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 3?
2076 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-6.23
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on May 14?
2070 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.14
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 11?
2066 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-4.13
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 25?
1084 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.17
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of June 8 above $285?$15.38Jun 12, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of June 8 above $285?$15.30Jun 9, 06:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?$6.33Jun 1, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?$6.30May 25, 03:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?$6.02May 25, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?$6.00May 20, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 on May 14?$4.14May 15, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 11?$4.13May 11, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 9?$4.15May 9, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 6?$4.18May 7, 02:13 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by April 30?$3.28May 4, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 3?$6.23May 4, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 on April 30?$4.13May 1, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 on April 30?$0.06May 1, 01:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $81,000 on April 27?$0.00Apr 28, 08:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $81,000 on April 27?$2.1KApr 28, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $81,000 on April 27?$2.1KApr 28, 02:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 27?$2.1KApr 28, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 27?$2.1KApr 27, 09:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,600 April 20-26?$2.1KApr 27, 09:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $444.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 31, 07:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 20:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.