Novel-Elimination
0x7c7068eae97c52b57861b1763705bc10aeaa2cd7
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
115
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-17.4K
Realised
$-2.6K
Win rate
7%
107 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 115- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on February 2?
50000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on February 3?
50000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on January 29?
25000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
19534 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-80.44
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 30?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
1766 shares @ 46.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-827.62
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
1362 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-75.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
1322 shares @ 54.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-721.74
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
1314 shares @ 51.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-675.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$38.72Jun 3, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$29.35Jun 3, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$5.20Jun 3, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$10.40Jun 3, 15:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$0.00Jun 3, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$15.60May 30, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$77.89May 30, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$77.56May 30, 13:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$8.33May 30, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$77.60May 30, 13:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$117.30May 30, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$0.00May 30, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$78.66May 30, 13:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$2.33May 30, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$15.99May 30, 13:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$216.88May 30, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$77.94May 30, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$77.47May 30, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$15.96May 30, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$39.41May 30, 13:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
59/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
7% win rate over 107 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
107 closed markets, 7% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $86.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 30, 10:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 15:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 107 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.