Ornery-Bus
0x7ca02835597cf4c882a08b540a685e348c7d7a8b
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$337.62
Total PnL
$-42.37
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$53.50
$3.50
- NO
Trump out as President before GTA VI?
100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$49.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$47.50
$-2.50
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
556 shares @ 5.4¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$30.28
$0.28
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
361 shares @ 8.3¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$30.18
$0.18
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
337 shares @ 8.9¢·now 8.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$29.83
$-0.17
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2500 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$28.75
$-1.25
- NO
Will New Zealand finish last in Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
46 shares @ 43.5¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$19.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will DR Congo finish last in Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
50 shares @ 40.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$19.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
101 shares @ 19.9¢·now 18.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$18.13
$-1.86
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 8, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?$4.13Jun 7, 13:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 7?$1.77Jun 7, 12:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mercedes have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?$12.51Jun 7, 11:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 7, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mercedes have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?$12.07Jun 6, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?$10.22Jun 6, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?$2.50Jun 6, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?$47.50Jun 6, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$10.24Jun 6, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before GTA VI?$51.25Jun 6, 13:52 UTC
- MERGEWill GameStop (GME) beat quarterly earnings?$20.00Jun 6, 13:43 UTC
- SPLITWill GameStop (GME) beat quarterly earnings?$20.00Jun 6, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 7?$10.37Jun 6, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?$20.64Jun 6, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$30.89Jun 6, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mercedes have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?$10.23Jun 6, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?$10.21Jun 6, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?$10.24Jun 6, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?$20.54Jun 6, 13:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $20.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 6, 12:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.