Alive-Proprietor
0x7ca37ec74544126106dca99dfc1ee652d2354ccd
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$100.91
Total PnL
$2.18
Realised
$-0.49
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
105 shares @ 90.6¢·now 95.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$100.06
$5.38
- YES
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $220 Week of June 29 2026?
33 shares @ 0.2¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.53
$0.47
- YES
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $620 Week of June 29 2026?
19 shares @ 0.2¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.32
$0.28
- YES
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $92.50 Week of June 22 2026?
382 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-0.76
- YES
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.25 Week of June 22 2026?
300 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.25 Week of June 22 2026?
185 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-0.37
- YES
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.50 Week of June 22 2026?
185 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-0.37
- YES
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.50 Week of June 22 2026?
130 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-0.26
- YES
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $138 Week of June 22 2026?
96 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-0.19
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $220 Week of June 29 2026?$0.07Jul 1, 09:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $500 Week of June 29 2026?$18.19Jul 1, 08:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 Week of June 29 2026?$0.22Jul 1, 05:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $705 Week of June 29 2026?$0.11Jul 1, 05:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $500 Week of June 29 2026?$30.31Jul 1, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $705 Week of June 29 2026?$0.10Jul 1, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 Week of June 29 2026?$0.23Jul 1, 03:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 Week of June 29 2026?$0.29Jul 1, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 Week of June 29 2026?$1.50Jul 1, 02:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 1, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$22.45Jul 1, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $500 Week of June 29 2026?$47.45Jun 30, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $620 Week of June 29 2026?$0.04Jun 30, 23:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 30, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 27, 00:12 UTC
- REWARD$9.41Jun 27, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $138 Week of June 22 2026?$0.01Jun 26, 19:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $138 Week of June 22 2026?$0.01Jun 26, 19:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
12/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $3.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 00:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 09:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.