Calm-Plover
0x7cbca6904291affd3c6bfa157d5edbc900dc5196
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$5.7K
Total PnL
$-9.6K
Realised
$306.26
Win rate
50%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?
7558 shares @ 33.5¢·now 28.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.1K
$-412.94
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11202 shares @ 9.1¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$935.34
$-89.42
- YES
Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch?
1881 shares @ 13.9¢·now 18.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$347.92
$86.93
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
651 shares @ 37.5¢·now 52.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$338.49
$94.48
- YES
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
502 shares @ 48.4¢·now 52.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$263.41
$20.41
- YES
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
384 shares @ 39.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$232.47
$82.47
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7895 shares @ 1.4¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$153.94
$46.95
- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
730 shares @ 5.7¢·now 18.8¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$136.90
$95.28
- YES
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
157 shares @ 14.3¢·now 81.3¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$128.00
$105.50
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1149 shares @ 8.7¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$121.26
$21.27
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.16Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jun 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jun 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jun 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jun 8, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$150.00Jun 7, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$112.01Jun 7, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$41.19Jun 7, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$25.74Jun 7, 01:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?$29.07Jun 7, 01:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$40.74Jun 7, 01:41 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$435.64Jun 7, 01:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jun 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jun 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jun 4, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5$55.84Jun 3, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spurs (-14.5)$10.23Jun 3, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spurs (-11.5)$10.21Jun 3, 22:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $63.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 29, 04:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.