Perfumed-Complaint
0x7cdc0a3bda5e11762a12a20422f2dfb39bdf5759
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$984.86
Total PnL
$-118.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
1260 shares @ 13.8¢·now 20.5¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$258.40
$84.87
- NO
Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
277 shares @ 71.9¢·now 65.5¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$181.74
$-17.64
- NO
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?
139 shares @ 72.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$102.78
$2.78
- NO
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
164 shares @ 61.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$102.46
$2.46
- YES
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
154 shares @ 65.0¢·now 62.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$95.38
$-4.62
- YES
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
296 shares @ 27.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$75.56
$-4.44
- NO
Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
164 shares @ 60.9¢·now 40.5¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$66.51
$-33.49
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?
762 shares @ 6.6¢·now 8.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$61.33
$11.33
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?
316 shares @ 15.8¢·now 12.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$40.71
$-9.29
- YES
Macron out by June 30, 2026?
2496 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$101.36Jul 28, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$101.56Jul 26, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolas Dupont-Aignan be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$101.40Jul 26, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYLecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?$101.12Jul 26, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?$101.56Jul 26, 12:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Meta launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?$10.55Jul 26, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$100.21Jul 22, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?$82.34Jul 22, 10:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Carole Delga be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$76.99Jul 22, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$51.65Jul 19, 20:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$156.92Jul 19, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$51.72Jul 19, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$51.80Jul 17, 07:32 UTC
- TRADESELLChristine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?$65.11Jul 3, 11:44 UTC
- TRADESELLChristine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?$35.00May 29, 13:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Meta launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?$3.67May 22, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$24.27May 7, 08:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Meta launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?$1.88Apr 30, 07:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Meta launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?$14.95Apr 29, 18:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Meta launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?$7.26Apr 29, 18:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $48.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 25, 00:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 17:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.