Metallic-Scissors
0x7ced86a445707e6a129f952b07c6fd4a374aabcf
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$118.14
Total PnL
$-42.12
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $337.50 Week of July 13 2026?
107 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$107.21
$0.21
- UNDER
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5
11 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$10.93
$4.59
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on March 2?
805 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.61
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on February 3?
533 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.13
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on March 1?
473 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.42
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on January 19?
255 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
- DETROIT TIGERS
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers
14 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-7.45
- FEDERICO ARNABOLDI
Cervia: Federico Arnaboldi vs Carlo Alberto Caniato
14 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-6.65
- MCCARTNEY KESSLER
Paris: McCartney Kessler vs Yulia Putintseva
13 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.84
- GENARO ALBERTO OLIVIERI
Chisinau: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Stefanos Sakellaridis
10 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.65
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $337.50 Week of July 13 2026?$107.01Jul 17, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5$6.47Jul 17, 07:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon (AMZN) close above $300 end of June?$114.11Jul 17, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) close above $300 end of June?$114.00Jun 30, 08:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Park Nam-choon win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?$11.72Jun 30, 08:12 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs$14.05Jun 30, 08:12 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$83.19Jun 30, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs$6.14Jun 1, 07:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$11.51Jun 1, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$83.02May 31, 08:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$83.01May 31, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$82.70May 30, 05:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026?$81.91May 30, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026?$82.00May 30, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYChisinau: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Stefanos Sakellaridis$3.72May 30, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$11.50May 30, 04:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on May 28?$11.41May 30, 04:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$86.63May 30, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$86.54May 29, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Park Nam-choon win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?$11.71May 29, 04:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $74.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 23, 17:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 17, 07:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.