Scientific-Vermicelli
0x7cef28f1ece3c3006f569b3d7d72c61791d3040e
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
111
Open notional
$7.64
Total PnL
$-100.32
Realised
$0.29
Win rate
62%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 111- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 39.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.76
$0.86
- YES
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $150 Week of July 13 2026?
2 shares @ 47.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$1.12
$0.12
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 19.0¢·now 17.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.03
$-0.09
- YES
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?
3 shares @ 30.0¢·now 29.9¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$1.00
$-0.00
- YES
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?
3 shares @ 33.0¢·now 32.6¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2 shares @ 37.6¢·now 33.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.77
$-0.09
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
101 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.25
- YES
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?
27 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?
22 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 14?$0.44Jul 14, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 14?$1.03Jul 14, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $150 Week of July 13 2026?$1.02Jul 13, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?$1.01Jul 13, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$1.04Jul 13, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$1.05Jul 13, 21:16 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$1.14Jul 13, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$1.02Jul 13, 21:10 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$1.26Jul 13, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$1.04Jul 13, 21:07 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$0.96Jul 13, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$1.04Jul 13, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$1.04Jul 13, 21:00 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$1.47Jul 13, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$1.04Jul 13, 20:58 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$1.47Jul 13, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$1.04Jul 13, 20:50 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$0.84Jul 13, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$1.04Jul 13, 20:10 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$0.13Jul 13, 20:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
38/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
62% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 38/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 13, 19:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 02:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.