Composed-Trouble
0x7cf08de3899a4c3ac3f286d64d0cbd8731b4a12e
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$33.91
Total PnL
$-154.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
27 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$27.03
$7.03
- YES
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?
38 shares @ 26.0¢·now 8.4¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$3.23
$-6.77
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
29 shares @ 17.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.79
$-2.21
- YES
Netanyahu out by June 30?
71 shares @ 14.0¢·now 1.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.86
$-9.14
- NO
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the October meeting?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
1538 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
182 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on October 30?
173 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Curtis Sliwa win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
125 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$20.00May 8, 15:45 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$21.90May 8, 15:44 UTC
- REDEEMEpstein client list released in 2025?$0.00Apr 10, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$17.74Apr 8, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 7?$2.00Apr 7, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?$10.00Apr 2, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?$5.00Apr 2, 14:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?$32.68Apr 2, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$5.00Apr 1, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?$30.00Apr 1, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$10.00Mar 20, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?$5.00Mar 9, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$2.00Mar 9, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$1.72Feb 3, 23:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$15.18Feb 3, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$2.00Feb 3, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$2.00Feb 3, 23:06 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$44.60Feb 3, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$36.13Jan 12, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$1.00Dec 22, 04:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $10.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 29, 17:24 UTC
- Last active
- May 8, 15:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.