Pretty-Kneejerk
0x7cfbfdcf1daafd019cb40993704fe2e7d8e621bc
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$74.45
Total PnL
$-87.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?
30 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$30.27
$0.27
- UNDER
Urawa Red Diamonds vs. Fagiano Okayama: O/U 3.5
22 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$21.88
$0.88
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?
11 shares @ 97.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$11.32
$0.32
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 6?
11 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$10.99
$0.99
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
25 shares @ 96.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-24.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
22 shares @ 68.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-14.76
- KNICKS
Hawks vs. Knicks
17 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-11.89
- YES
Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?
13 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
7 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-4.89
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?
6 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-0.96
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUrawa Red Diamonds vs. Fagiano Okayama: O/U 3.5$21.03Jun 6, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on June 6?$10.06Jun 6, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?$30.01Jun 6, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$11.02May 22, 23:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$26.21May 22, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?$11.07May 14, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$26.01May 14, 04:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$11.36May 14, 04:15 UTC
- REDEEMKashiwa Reysol vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 3.5$20.41May 14, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYKashiwa Reysol vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 3.5$20.01May 10, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$10.08May 10, 08:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by April 30?$1.43May 10, 05:07 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Cavaliers (-10.5)$21.98May 10, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Cavaliers (-10.5)$20.05Apr 30, 01:21 UTC
- REDEEMLiverpool FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 4.5$12.58Apr 30, 01:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-25?$14.22Apr 30, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$5.00Apr 25, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$1.00Apr 25, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-25?$12.00Apr 25, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYLiverpool FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 4.5$10.00Apr 25, 11:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $21.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 6, 05:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 08:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.