Arid-Parent
0x7d1922ae7af6ef801630924a2844e9d46784f019
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$121.88
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$248.67
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
254 shares @ 39.3¢·now 47.9¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$121.88
$21.88
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
3493 shares @ 29.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108,000 and $110,000 on September 20?
1855 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $118,000 and $120,000 on September 21?
1719 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 21, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- CHINA
AFC U23 Final: China vs. Japan
657 shares @ 16.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-110.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $118,000 and $120,000 on September 20?
556 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $112,000 and $114,000 on September 21?
539 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 21, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $116,000 and $118,000 on September 23?
500 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $5,400 in November?
385 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $118,000 and $120,000 on September 22?
328 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 22, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$101.80May 30, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$101.82May 19, 05:22 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$476.45Jan 24, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYAFC U23 Final: China vs. Japan$10.00Jan 24, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYAFC U23 Final: China vs. Japan$100.00Jan 24, 14:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 20?$39.00Nov 20, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 20?$22.80Nov 20, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYJazz vs. Lakers$10.00Nov 19, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYJazz vs. Lakers$30.00Nov 19, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $5,400 in November?$5.00Nov 9, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$100.00Nov 4, 08:51 UTC
- TRADESELLMonad market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?$203.84Oct 29, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYMonad market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?$200.00Oct 28, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$50.00Oct 23, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?$5.00Oct 21, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?$10.00Oct 21, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming (BO5)$10.00Oct 14, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $114,000 and $116,000 on October 11?$15.00Oct 11, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $116,000 and $118,000 on September 23?$10.00Sep 23, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $118,000 and $120,000 on September 22?$10.00Sep 22, 06:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $191.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 7, 04:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 11:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".