Double-Tinderbox
0x7d2b32808ea38be33b9965f26fa15dc9964597da
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$11.97
Total PnL
$-19.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.96
$0.01
- NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 5?
5 shares @ 97.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$4.88
$0.03
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
15 shares @ 8.8¢·now 8.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.34
$0.02
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 15.6¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.80
$0.02
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
8887 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-4.4K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
6877 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-3.4K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
5559 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-2.8K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
5555 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-2.8K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
2088 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
2005 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 5?$4.85Jun 4, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$4.95May 28, 23:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$4.92May 28, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$4.93May 28, 23:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?$5.00May 28, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?$4.89May 21, 08:56 UTC
- REDEEMParis: Madison Keys vs Fiona Ferro$5.00May 21, 08:54 UTC
- REDEEMBordeaux: Titouan Droguet vs Jacob Fearnley$5.00May 21, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYCSKA Moscow vs. Lokomotiv Kuban$4.35May 12, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYParis: Madison Keys vs Fiona Ferro$4.65May 12, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBordeaux: Titouan Droguet vs Jacob Fearnley$4.25May 12, 15:05 UTC
- REDEEMMobile Legends Bang Bang: Cyber Hero vs Verso Time (BO3) - BetBoom Rise of Legends 1st Division$5.00May 12, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYMobile Legends Bang Bang: Cyber Hero vs Verso Time (BO3) - BetBoom Rise of Legends 1st Division$2.65May 5, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYMobile Legends Bang Bang: Cyber Hero vs Verso Time (BO3) - BetBoom Rise of Legends 1st Division$1.35May 5, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWuxi: Akira Santillan vs Coleman Wong$4.00May 5, 10:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?$5.00May 5, 10:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norwich City FC win on 2026-04-25?$5.00May 5, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.78Apr 25, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norwich City FC win on 2026-04-25?$4.25Apr 25, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?$4.50Apr 25, 15:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $2.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 27, 11:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 02:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".