0x7d5979d566fa57bd0ca6da2cd7157d41c8c0db0a
0x7d5979d566fa57bd0ca6da2cd7157d41c8c0db0a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-448.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Kanye launch a coin in March?
900 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.70
- YES
Will France finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?
370 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-196.10
- NO
Will Marseille beat Brest?
310 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2025$0.00
$-99.20
- NO
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 62-63°F on March 22?
85 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2025$0.00
$-74.80
- TOMAR
Shauna Bannon vs. Puja Tomar
65 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2025$0.00
$-25.35
- YES
Will Trump's approval rating be between 47.0% and 47.4% on March 21?
35 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2025$0.00
$-20.65
- NO
Will Susan Crawford win by 10% or more?
20 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2025$0.00
$-15.80
- NO
Will Trump say "Israel" 7+ times during Netanyahu events today?
10 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.80
- NO
Will Trump say "Indiana" by April 4?
5 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2025$0.00
$-4.35
- LUCKNOW
Delhi Capitals vs Lucknow Super Giants
5 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2025$0.00
$-2.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill France finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?$196.10May 15, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marseille beat Brest?$99.20Apr 27, 06:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Liberal Party win the Nunavut seat in the next Canadian Election?$99.00Apr 26, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Liberal Party win the Nunavut seat in the next Canadian Election?$99.00Apr 26, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78000 and $80000 on Apr 11?$1.15Apr 10, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tottenham vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?$3.85Apr 10, 04:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-04-09?$5.00Apr 10, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-04-09?$4.50Apr 9, 07:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin April 1-7?$5.00Apr 9, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Israel" 7+ times during Netanyahu events today?$1.80Apr 7, 16:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Emanuel Sharp lead the 2025 NCAA Championship game in scoring?$1.70Apr 7, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Emanuel Sharp lead the 2025 NCAA Championship game in scoring?$1.60Apr 7, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin April 1-7?$3.95Apr 7, 06:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tottenham vs. Southampton end in a draw?$5.40Apr 6, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tottenham vs. Southampton end in a draw?$0.90Apr 6, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tottenham vs. Southampton end in a draw?$4.50Apr 6, 06:33 UTC
- TRADESELLF1: Will Lawson finish ahead of Tsunoda in the Japanese Grand Prix?$4.50Apr 6, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYF1: Will Lawson finish ahead of Tsunoda in the Japanese Grand Prix?$4.60Apr 6, 05:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Liberals lead by more than 5% on April 4?$5.00Apr 5, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liberals lead by more than 5% on April 4?$4.80Apr 4, 09:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $21.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 21, 07:39 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 09:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.