Wallet digest

active

Activity score

61/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

200

Open notional

$11.13

Total PnL

$-2.0K

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 200

YES
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
33 shares @ 30.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026
$10.50
$0.50
YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
26 shares @ 39.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026
$0.63
$-9.37
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
366 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026
$0.00
$-24.97
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
314 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026
$0.00
$-59.64
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
256 shares @ 19.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026
$0.00
$-49.69
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
195 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026
$0.00
$-11.04
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
176 shares @ 15.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026
$0.00
$-27.37
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
160 shares @ 16.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026
$0.00
$-26.86
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
158 shares @ 13.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026
$0.00
$-21.90
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
152 shares @ 26.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026
$0.00
$-39.63

Recent activity

TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$3.00Apr 18, 14:41 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$3.09Apr 18, 14:35 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$3.00Apr 18, 14:30 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$1.00Apr 18, 14:27 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$2.00Apr 18, 14:23 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$12.00Apr 18, 14:22 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$5.50Apr 18, 14:16 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$5.00Apr 18, 14:10 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$8.00Apr 18, 14:07 UTC
TRADESELLWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?$18.59Apr 14, 22:51 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?$4.76Apr 14, 20:29 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$2.88Apr 10, 20:05 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$1.38Apr 9, 14:56 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$2.88Apr 9, 14:55 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$1.00Apr 9, 14:37 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$5.00Apr 9, 14:30 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$5.00Apr 9, 14:26 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$3.00Apr 9, 14:21 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$2.06Apr 9, 14:20 UTC
REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$15.63Apr 9, 14:18 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity41 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry30 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk71 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 41
Avg trade size: $6.78
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Mar 26, 15:48 UTC
Last active: Apr 18, 14:41 UTC
Win rate sample: 0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 14:14:25 UTC·src:Polymarket Data