Keen-Syndicate
0x7d79c724d504045af4ecb263c7b3edaab4f54d8f
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$12.86
Total PnL
$-12.64
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
13 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$12.86
$-0.04
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will UpScrolled be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?
426 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $175-$180 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 30 – Apr 3?
424 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on May 26?
419 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on December 26?
360 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.44
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 68-69°F on May 2?
293 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,600 on March 12?
41 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-0.16
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?$12.90Jul 18, 08:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 2?$81.08Jun 2, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 2?$81.00Jun 2, 12:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 25?$8.01May 25, 17:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 26?$73.07May 25, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 26?$73.00May 25, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on May 26?$1.05May 25, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 25?$8.00May 25, 13:11 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?$82.08May 23, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?$82.00May 22, 11:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?$82.16May 19, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?$82.01May 19, 12:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 17?$74.22May 17, 20:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$8.01May 16, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$8.00May 15, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$2.10May 15, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 17?$74.02May 15, 11:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$2.00May 15, 11:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Drake officially release Iceman by May 8, 2026?$83.08May 15, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$2.00May 10, 11:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $56.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 12:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 18, 08:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.