Pointed-Ear
0x7d7d7602611429ba37cb518d6e741069f4842281
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$69.16
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$17.32
Win rate
69%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
11 shares @ 64.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.70
$-0.05
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $765 Week of July 6 2026?
7 shares @ 76.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$6.25
$1.25
- NO
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $380 in July?
18 shares @ 28.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$5.27
$0.27
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
5 shares @ 96.5¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$5.13
$0.13
- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in July?
14 shares @ 35.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$5.07
$0.07
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?
5 shares @ 95.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$5.05
$0.05
- YES
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 Week of July 6 2026?
6 shares @ 77.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$5.03
$0.03
- YES
Fed rate hike in 2026?
10 shares @ 48.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$4.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
6 shares @ 86.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.91
$-0.09
- NO
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
22 shares @ 22.4¢·now 21.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.70
$-0.30
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$3.66Jul 7, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $380 in July?$5.14Jul 7, 03:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $580 Week of July 6 2026?$2.83Jul 7, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on July 7?$5.03Jul 7, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$2.08Jul 7, 01:23 UTC
- TRADESELLMicrosoft (MSFT) Up or Down on July 7?$4.79Jul 6, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicrosoft (MSFT) Up or Down on July 7?$5.11Jul 6, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$5.02Jul 6, 22:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $540 in July?$0.88Jul 6, 21:05 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on July 6?$2.27Jul 6, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in July?$5.13Jul 6, 18:20 UTC
- TRADESELLFed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?$5.11Jul 6, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in July?$4.13Jul 6, 17:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$4.60Jul 6, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$5.01Jul 6, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $580 Week of July 6 2026?$4.99Jul 6, 16:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of July 6 2026?$1.90Jul 6, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$5.08Jul 6, 15:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $196 Week of July 6 2026?$0.00Jul 6, 14:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $355 Week of July 6 2026?$0.26Jul 6, 14:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
41/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
69% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 38/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $4.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 5, 22:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 7, 04:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.