Quixotic-Story
0x7dc984968bae34a9cb75380e8265b26a9645525e
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$111.14
Total PnL
$-37.97
Realised
$-2.42
Win rate
59%
110 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?
5 shares @ 85.1¢·now 91.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.56
$0.30
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
5 shares @ 87.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$4.53
$0.17
- NO
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $120 in May?
5 shares @ 78.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$4.35
$0.45
- NO
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?
5 shares @ 84.1¢·now 85.7¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$4.28
$0.08
- NO
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?
5 shares @ 79.9¢·now 84.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.20
$0.20
- YES
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?
5 shares @ 67.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$3.73
$0.38
- NO
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?
5 shares @ 77.8¢·now 66.6¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$3.33
$-0.56
- NO
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?
5 shares @ 62.0¢·now 63.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.15
$0.05
- NO
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 23 and May 29?
5 shares @ 91.1¢·now 62.8¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$3.14
$-1.41
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
5 shares @ 62.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.08
$-0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T$0.90May 17, 18:39 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$1.70May 17, 18:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.03May 17, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.07May 17, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?$0.11May 17, 18:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arc launch a token by June 30 2026?$4.02May 17, 18:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.35May 17, 18:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$0.44May 17, 18:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Denis Bećirović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?$2.45May 17, 18:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?$0.25May 17, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?$1.65May 17, 18:04 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?$0.90May 17, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?$0.27May 17, 17:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$1.05May 17, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$2.95May 17, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by May 31?$3.10May 17, 17:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$0.33May 17, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $256 in May?$3.32May 17, 17:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?$3.35May 17, 17:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 300k and 350k?$0.04May 17, 17:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 16:22 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 18:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 110 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".