Worthy-Jockey
0x7dcf235766e6b09c8869468a75d5495cf171a7bd
Wallet digest
Activity score
39/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$4.20
Total PnL
$-22.3K
Realised
$-680.40
Win rate
4%
82 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Enzo Fernandez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
2659 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$1.33
$-28.55
- YES
Will Dominik Szoboszlai win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
2236 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$1.12
$-24.01
- YES
Will StepFun have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
1757 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.88
$-69.41
- YES
Will Meituan have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
1757 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.88
$-69.41
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 6, 2026?
5219 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-163.11
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 4, 2026?
5219 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-163.11
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 7, 2026?
5219 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-163.11
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 5, 2026?
5219 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-163.11
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit China on or prior to May 1, 2026?
5219 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-163.11
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 2, 2026?
5219 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-163.11
Recent activity
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in Panama City on July 29?$80.00Jul 28, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on July 29?$5.72Jul 28, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on July 29?$9.96Jul 28, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 37°C on July 29?$9.98Jul 28, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 29?$8.60Jul 28, 23:16 UTC
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in Dallas on July 29?$280.00Jul 28, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 29?$7.10Jul 28, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 29?$21.30Jul 28, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 108-109°F on July 29?$39.92Jul 28, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on July 29?$39.62Jul 28, 23:06 UTC
- CONVERSIONLargest Company end of July?$25.81Jul 28, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$2.90Jul 28, 22:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 28?$2.78Jul 28, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dahvys Win the 2026 Soloq Challenge (High Elo)$0.01Jul 28, 22:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 28?$3.05Jul 28, 22:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 29?$0.15Jul 28, 22:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 42°C or higher on July 29?$0.08Jul 28, 22:17 UTC
- CONVERSIONMO-01 Democratic Primary Winner$40.00Jul 28, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?$3.80Jul 28, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?$7.60Jul 28, 22:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
51/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
4% win rate over 82 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
82 closed markets, 4% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $9.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 21:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 23:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 82 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.