0x7dd4e00cfc1427e14ac337451992f2b1b847b469
0x7dd4e00cfc1427e14ac337451992f2b1b847b469
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$72.72
Total PnL
$-12.28
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?
15 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$15.10
$0.10
- YES
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
9 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$8.97
$1.97
- NO
Will Meta acquire TikTok?
8 shares @ 97.8¢·now 99.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.11
$0.11
- YES
Will the 1st pick in the 2026 Pro Football draft be a QB?
7 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$7.45
$0.45
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?
7 shares @ 94.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$7.39
$0.39
- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
7 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$7.32
$1.32
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
7 shares @ 81.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.41
$0.41
- YES
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 3-9?
6 shares @ 96.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$6.24
$0.24
- NO
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
6 shares @ 69.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$5.74
$1.74
- NO
Will the US gain between 200-250k jobs in November?
7 shares @ 89.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2024$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFrance, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?$4.00Mar 3, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 3-9?$6.00Mar 3, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 1st pick in the 2026 Pro Football draft be a QB? $7.00Mar 3, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?$7.00Mar 3, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$7.00Mar 3, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?$15.00Mar 3, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$6.00Mar 3, 16:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 31?$7.57Feb 9, 16:00 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 30?$7.69Feb 9, 16:00 UTC
- REDEEMUS government shutdown Saturday?$9.33Feb 9, 16:00 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?$28.41Feb 9, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$6.00Jan 30, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 31?$7.00Jan 30, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?$4.00Jan 30, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?$7.00Jan 30, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 30?$7.00Jan 30, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?$8.00Jan 30, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?$8.00Jan 30, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$7.00Jan 30, 11:51 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro out by November 30, 2025?$8.33Jan 30, 11:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $7.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 18, 12:41 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 3, 16:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".