Imperturbable-Gosling
0x7dd994710506fc28b42655b24e6d0f042f700707
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$66.18
Total PnL
$-163.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
103 shares @ 58.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$45.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
23 shares @ 44.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$9.89
$-0.11
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
40 shares @ 24.8¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.86
$-4.14
- YES
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
52 shares @ 29.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.43
$-9.57
- YES
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
268 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Xavier Becerra win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election by more than 10%?
220 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-19.05
- YES
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
81 shares @ 24.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?
77 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Eastern Conference?
71 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?
57 shares @ 17.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?$101.52Jul 10, 08:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 6, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.