Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Eastern Conference?
Probability
17¢
1h
-0.5pp
24h
-5.0pp
24h Vol
$334.93
Liquidity
$14.3K
Probability (last 7 days)
-10.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1584.6h
- 23:21SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 1585h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 23:19PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 19¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 17¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 21¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 22¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 22¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 22¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 22¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 22¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 23¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 23¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 23¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 24¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 24¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 24¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 23¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the Eastern Conference during the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the Eastern Conference (e.g., elimination from the playoffs), the relevant market will resolve immediately to “No.” If the 2025-26 NHL season is permanently canceled or the playoffs have not been completed by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- the team that wins the Eastern Conference during the 2025-26 NHL PlayoffsAmbiguous wordingextracted · low
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (10.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
Top Holders
20 wallets- Third-Theology12.8K
- 0xa5ef…29667.2K
- Honest-Similarity3.2K
- Lean-Attraction2.0K
- Determined-Valuable1.6K