0x7dff1ecdd1030fd6a22de5e19280c9f2a8fc9e64
0x7dff1ecdd1030fd6a22de5e19280c9f2a8fc9e64
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$93.59
Total PnL
$38.05
Realised
$-1.33
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
62 shares @ 14.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$61.77
$52.57
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
13 shares @ 77.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$12.89
$2.89
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
8 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$7.81
$2.81
- YES
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
6 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$5.68
$0.68
- YES
Will Taylor Swift be the second most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?
5 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.43
$0.43
- YES
Zelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
36 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
16 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?
9 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$9.20Dec 5, 11:12 UTC
- TRADESELLOdds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday at least 25%?$0.17Nov 28, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$5.00Nov 28, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$5.00Nov 28, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?$5.00Nov 28, 14:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?$8.66Nov 26, 23:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$4.50Nov 26, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?$5.00Nov 26, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$5.00Nov 26, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?$5.00Nov 26, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYOdds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday at least 25%?$10.00Nov 26, 21:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the House vote on a government funding bill today?$10.04Nov 24, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$5.00Nov 23, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$5.00Nov 23, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?$5.00Nov 23, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?$10.00Nov 23, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taylor Swift be the second most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?$5.00Nov 12, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the House vote on a government funding bill today?$10.00Nov 12, 22:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
17 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $6.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 12, 22:53 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 5, 11:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.