0x7e042eb8c174adfab978eb7921235baf5a5f2ab9
0x7e042eb8c174adfab978eb7921235baf5a5f2ab9
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.01
Total PnL
$-28.65
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
19 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.01
$-0.76
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
186 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- YES
Will the Two-Tailed Dog Party (MKKP) finish with the third-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
20 shares @ 33.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-6.82
- UP
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on March 30?
13 shares @ 27.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.50
- UP
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on March 30?
10 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.90
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 30?
6 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.90
- YES
Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be between 65% and 70%?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Chrissy Hofbeck be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Emily Flippen be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$2.67Apr 22, 14:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$2.62Apr 22, 14:25 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$2.65Apr 22, 14:19 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 18, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$3.86Apr 22, 14:18 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$3.01Apr 22, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$2.50Apr 22, 14:17 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$10.27Apr 22, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$2.50Apr 18, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$2.50Apr 18, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$2.50Apr 18, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 18, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$2.50Apr 18, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$2.50Apr 18, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$2.50Apr 18, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$2.50Apr 18, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$2.00Apr 18, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?$1.00Mar 31, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Emily Flippen be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week?$1.00Mar 30, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chrissy Hofbeck be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week?$1.00Mar 30, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Two-Tailed Dog Party (MKKP) finish with the third-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$0.97Mar 30, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Two-Tailed Dog Party (MKKP) finish with the third-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$1.20Mar 30, 20:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $1.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 30, 16:55 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 22, 14:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.