Stingy-Inlaws-Ordinary
0x7e04470e288701214292ddc0d53aa402195367f4
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
60
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-633.73
Realised
$-3.10
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 60- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on May 27?
102 shares @ 71.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-72.75
- NO
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on May 28?
61 shares @ 69.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-42.42
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on May 29?
55 shares @ 72.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-39.84
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 7?
48 shares @ 73.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-35.28
- NO
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on June 7?
46 shares @ 72.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-33.65
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 30?
41 shares @ 75.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-30.84
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 7?
36 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-24.84
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on June 6?
34 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-23.60
- DETROIT TIGERS
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigers
32 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.83
- PITTSBURGH PIRATES
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies
30 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-4.83
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$12.12Jul 14, 20:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYAtlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinals$5.05Jul 11, 23:36 UTC
- REDEEMNew York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals$24.70Jul 11, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigers$5.04Jul 11, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$5.15Jul 11, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals$5.14Jul 11, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYCleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlins$5.17Jul 11, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYColorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants$5.16Jul 11, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Rays$5.05Jul 11, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYLos Angeles Angels vs. Minnesota Twins$5.03Jul 11, 19:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYKansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles$5.05Jul 10, 23:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMChicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Orioles$21.43Jul 9, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYChicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Orioles$5.04Jul 9, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYCleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins$5.07Jul 9, 19:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
17 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $5.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 4, 06:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.