Soulful-Gym
0x7e17f5101a685086cf5e2f4d137f8c36c0749944
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
52
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-936.92
Realised
$53.93
Win rate
100%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 52- YES
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
5000 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-120.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
998 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-38.65
- YES
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Ghana?
700 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-15.21
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
500 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-54.50
- YES
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. before April?
250 shares @ 12.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-30.31
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
200 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- YES
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?
197 shares @ 21.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-42.23
- YES
Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of EPL?
175 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-21.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpain to score first vs. Argentina?$61.29Jul 19, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain to score first vs. Argentina?$51.11Jul 19, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND Spain to score first vs. Argentina?$4.99Jul 19, 19:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$46.50Jul 11, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$12.90Jul 11, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$11.39Jul 11, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.61Jul 11, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$14.50Jul 11, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Jul 7, 00:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.47Jul 1, 18:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$21.04Jul 1, 17:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.59Jul 1, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.04Jul 1, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$12.40Jul 1, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.48Jul 1, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.48Jul 1, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.00Jul 1, 16:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$26.28Jun 30, 21:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 30, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $18.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 10:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 19:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.