Scared-Superiority
0x7e451ba7b32fe7e4c44e9babc7da332aeffabbe1
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$192.13
Total PnL
$-74.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?
83 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$83.30
$33.30
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
72 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$72.46
$22.46
- NO
Park Sung-jae in jail by November 15?
36 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$36.36
$16.36
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on November 4?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on November 4?
1739 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 4?
577 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 5?
560 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk’s $1T Tesla pay deal pass?
462 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
455 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?
261 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$10.00Nov 5, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 4-7?$5.00Nov 5, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 5?$10.00Nov 5, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$50.00Nov 4, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$10.00Nov 4, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on November 4?$2.00Nov 4, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on November 4?$10.00Nov 4, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on November 4?$10.00Nov 4, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 4?$20.00Nov 4, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s $1T Tesla pay deal pass?$40.00Nov 4, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?$10.00Nov 4, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYPark Sung-jae in jail by November 15?$20.00Nov 4, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 4-7?$10.00Nov 4, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on November 8?$10.00Nov 4, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?$50.00Nov 4, 15:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $17.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 4, 15:42 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 5, 19:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".