Shrill-Loafer
0x7e577d1e2e8ee6a44ef46f7b83bfa4cce3674eb1
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$15.66
Total PnL
$-66.11
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
6 shares @ 90.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.30
$0.25
- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
5 shares @ 95.3¢·now 96.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.30
$0.09
- NO
Trump out as President by April 30?
5 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$5.06
$0.04
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on February 28?
1161 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.48
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on February 18?
1158 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.63
- YES
Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.90 on February 15?
1153 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.46
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on March 20?
1145 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.29
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on March 16?
1142 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.71
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on February 13?
1135 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-6.81
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $62,000 on March 22?
1135 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.40
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 2?$9.24Jul 2, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 2?$9.20Jul 1, 06:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?$5.35Jul 1, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?$4.62Jun 30, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?$4.61Jun 25, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?$5.33Jun 20, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of June 8 above $285?$9.04Jun 12, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of June 8 above $285?$9.00Jun 9, 02:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?$11.55Jun 1, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?$11.50May 26, 03:11 UTC
- REDEEMWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 18?$11.82May 18, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 18?$11.70May 18, 09:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 13?$11.67May 13, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 13?$11.60May 12, 07:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 4?$11.02May 4, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 4?$11.00May 3, 11:24 UTC
- REWARD$0.09Apr 28, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$5.02Apr 16, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUY10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$5.21Apr 10, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on March 31?$3.34Mar 31, 02:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $156.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 29, 01:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 2, 16:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.