Earnest-Opposition
0x7e5f471227fa0da4b1a1e5be5deaaf635d713521
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$14.34
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
515 shares @ 50.0¢·now 57.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$294.01
$36.51
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
515 shares @ 50.0¢·now 42.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$220.94
$-36.56
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
125 shares @ 96.5¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$122.56
$1.96
- NO
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?
120 shares @ 97.6¢·now 98.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$118.02
$0.90
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
88 shares @ 86.0¢·now 96.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$84.61
$8.93
- NO
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
67 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$66.30
$-0.17
- NO
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
55 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$54.81
$0.08
- NO
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
55 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$54.75
$0.19
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?
30 shares @ 92.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$29.41
$1.81
- NO
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
25 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$24.91
$0.09
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.07Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 21, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 10, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 9, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 8, 00:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 5, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 4, 00:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.