Important-Deathwatch
0x7e6315556653144b265b1ce0bcca90afcb9a4268
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$144.72
Total PnL
$-924.52
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
810 shares @ 30.9¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$133.59
$-116.41
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
15 shares @ 27.1¢·now 20.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.06
$-0.94
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
73 shares @ 11.0¢·now 2.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.75
$-6.25
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
71 shares @ 14.0¢·now 2.4¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$1.71
$-8.29
- YES
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
54 shares @ 11.1¢·now 3.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.65
$-4.35
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
15 shares @ 13.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.62
$-0.38
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
129 shares @ 7.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.35
$-7.65
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $50k in April?
7818 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $60k in April?
2303 shares @ 10.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-250.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
368 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by June 8?$319.41Jun 12, 00:31 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by June 15?$125.71Jun 12, 00:31 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 10?$30.97Jun 9, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 10?$10.00Jun 9, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 10?$5.00Jun 9, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 10?$20.00Jun 9, 21:52 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by July 31?$76.04Jun 8, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 8?$5.00Jun 7, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 8?$40.00Jun 7, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 8?$3.52Jun 7, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 15?$15.00Jun 7, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 8?$10.00Jun 7, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 8?$30.00Jun 7, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 8?$100.00Jun 7, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by July 31?$50.00Jun 7, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$4.00Jun 7, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$2.00Jun 7, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$10.00Jun 7, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 15?$15.00Jun 7, 15:27 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$96.15Jun 1, 12:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $54.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 22, 13:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 00:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.