Unfortunate-Chin
0x7e71af0206192726ee429b0ed01d5a158cdbc3b3
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
53
Open notional
$0.10
Total PnL
$-812.06
Realised
$-22.57
Win rate
0%
46 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- NO
NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?
203 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.10
$-12.03
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 23?
4054 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-13.99
- NO
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
1122 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-32.10
- NO
Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?
513 shares @ 16.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.00
$-85.90
- NO
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
229 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- NO
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026?
227 shares @ 21.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-49.80
- NO
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?
217 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?
201 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
100 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.70
- OVER
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 7.5 Total Corners
89 shares @ 25.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-22.84
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-08-19?$21.81Aug 20, 04:55 UTC
- REDEEMLos Angeles Galaxy vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 0.5$15.46Aug 20, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYLos Angeles Galaxy vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 0.5$9.92Aug 20, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-08-19?$5.51Aug 20, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-08-19?$7.15Aug 20, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?$2.63Aug 19, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?$3.00Aug 19, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?$6.50Aug 19, 03:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$0.00Aug 11, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$12.49Aug 11, 10:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$0.00Aug 11, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$5.30Aug 11, 09:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?$12.62Aug 11, 09:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Drake attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?$2.95Aug 11, 09:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Wayne Rooney attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?$2.30Aug 11, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?$11.49Aug 5, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?$5.23Aug 5, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wayne Rooney attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?$3.14Aug 5, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?$15.69Aug 5, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wayne Rooney attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?$3.14Aug 5, 17:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
56/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 46 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
46 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $12.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 16, 12:43 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 20, 04:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 46 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.