Wallet profile

Notable-Prize

0x7e71d2d49277692896471d6d68d4190bc89305d5

activity 28/100

Wallet digest

active

Activity score

28/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

42

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-162.19

Realised

$-10.86

Win rate

0%

42 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 42

Recent activity

  • YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:18 UTC
  • YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
  • TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-14?$1.90Jul 14, 15:51 UTC
  • YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
  • YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
  • YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:19 UTC
  • YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
  • TRADESELLWill Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.90Jul 10, 18:42 UTC
  • YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:13 UTC
  • YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:10 UTC
  • YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:15 UTC
  • YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:10 UTC
  • YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:16 UTC
  • YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:17 UTC
  • YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:16 UTC
  • YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:12 UTC
  • YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:15 UTC
  • YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:16 UTC
  • TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.43Jun 30, 20:47 UTC
  • YIELD$0.00Jun 30, 00:12 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Wallet edge sanity

Needs review

58/100
read-only

Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.

Required before treating wallet flow as useful

Resolved-only performance

0% win rate over 42 closed markets.

Copy-lag simulation

A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.

Liquidity and exit

Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.

Resolution-source risk

The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.

Survivorship bias

Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.

Wallet intelligence filter

Watch only

29/100
no PredictFoliopaper-only

Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.

Wallet signal
pass

20 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 25/100.

Resolved-only track record
pass

42 closed markets, 0% win rate.

Cost / slippage
missing

No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.

Resolution risk
missing

No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.

Market liquidity
missing

No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.

Copy-lag simulation
missing

No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.

Paper-only attribution
missing

No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity33 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence100 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry31 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk25 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time)
20
Avg trade size
$3.54
Top category
—
Category concentration
0%
First seen
Jun 20, 00:59 UTC
Last active
Jul 16, 00:18 UTC
Win rate sample
42 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

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updated 00:30:36 UTC·src:Polymarket Data