Regal-Reindeer
0x7e7726dca2039903faf52e20193d425b36399b21
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$402.53
Total PnL
$0.41
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Solana reach $160 in July?
382 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$381.81
$0.19
- NO
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
7 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$7.00
$0.00
- NO
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?
3 shares @ 98.6¢·now 99.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
3 shares @ 96.7¢·now 96.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will Nongshim RedForce win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
2 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will João Rodrigues win the Governor of Santa Catarina election?
2 shares @ 98.7¢·now 92.7¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.41
$-0.09
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
3 shares @ 39.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.19
$0.19
- NO
New COVID variant of concern before 2027?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.10
$0.10
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
1 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
2 shares @ 50.4¢·now 50.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $160 in July?$381.62Jul 28, 13:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump post "Wall Street" on Truth Social this week?$1.02Jul 27, 08:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on July 26?$1.03Jul 27, 02:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill no MrBeast video be posted?$2.60Jul 25, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Wall Street" on Truth Social this week?$1.00Jul 25, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on July 26?$1.00Jul 25, 06:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the earnings call not air?$2.02Jul 22, 23:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill no Lemonade Stand episode air?$2.01Jul 22, 22:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 22?$1.02Jul 22, 16:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in July?$340.72Jul 21, 22:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in July?$15.89Jul 21, 21:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in July?$19.10Jul 21, 21:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in July?$1.28Jul 21, 21:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Little House on the Prairie:Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?$1.03Jul 21, 21:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in July?$377.01Jul 21, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Lemonade Stand episode air?$2.00Jul 21, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 22?$1.00Jul 21, 08:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Darren Jones be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$1.31Jul 20, 19:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$17.56Jul 20, 01:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $108.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 7, 04:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 13:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.