0x7e781ec80a4b46795200bdc75c073d0ffd5b89cc
0x7e781ec80a4b46795200bdc75c073d0ffd5b89cc
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-15.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Central African Democratic Rally win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?$1.93Feb 24, 04:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the National Movement of Independents win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?$1.98Feb 24, 04:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mamadu Iaia Djaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?$1.89Feb 24, 04:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill João Bernardo Vieira win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?$1.89Feb 24, 04:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Movement for the Liberation of the Central African People win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?$1.96Feb 24, 04:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the National Union for Democracy and Progress win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?$1.98Feb 24, 04:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mário da Silva Júnior win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?$1.96Feb 24, 04:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?$1.98Feb 24, 04:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Union for Central African Renewal win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?$2.00Feb 24, 04:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Honório Augusto Lopes win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?$3.77Feb 24, 04:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?$3.80Feb 24, 04:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?$3.80Feb 24, 04:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MUNDO-GB win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?$3.88Feb 24, 04:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?$3.96Feb 24, 04:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 36 and 40 million views on day 2?$6.01Feb 24, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Honório Augusto Lopes win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?$2.00Feb 23, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?$2.00Feb 23, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?$2.00Feb 23, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MUNDO-GB win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?$2.00Feb 23, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?$2.00Feb 23, 04:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $2.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 22, 17:16 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 24, 04:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.