Improbable-Entry
0x7e80049eb08ac45b6ddadd8d069db6fd94ba631b
Quality score
65/100
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.0K
Total PnL
$-736.41
Realised
$-240.60
Win rate
24%
92 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
50 shares @ 87.9¢·now 92.3¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$46.17
$2.22
- NO
Will Brian Varela be the Democratic nominee for NJ-07?
50 shares @ 92.6¢·now 92.2¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$46.08
$-0.25
- NO
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 17.5m and 19m?
50 shares @ 90.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$44.75
$-0.25
- NO
Will Russia capture Kindrativka by May 31?
50 shares @ 87.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$44.00
$0.50
- NO
Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
50 shares @ 82.2¢·now 77.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$38.52
$-2.57
- NO
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
50 shares @ 76.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$37.75
$-0.25
- NO
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
44 shares @ 92.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$37.50
$-2.85
- YES
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 20.5m?
50 shares @ 61.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$26.75
$-3.75
- YES
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
50 shares @ 56.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$26.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?
50 shares @ 55.0¢·now 46.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$23.00
$-4.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?$7.831m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Nathan Willett be the Republican nominee for MO-06?$15.001m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" in April?$16.404m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 27?$11.854m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Ornn B200 Index hit $4.20 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?$1.058m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Ornn B200 Index hit $4.20 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?$1.058m ago
- TRADESELLWill Eli Lilly and Co (LLY) beat quarterly earnings?$2.9313m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$0.2018m ago
- TRADESELLWill Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?$5.7219m ago
- TRADESELLWill Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?$6.2420m ago
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$24.9330m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Calvin Lee advance from the CA-34 primary election?$9.4032m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kindrativka by May 31?$43.5043m ago
- TRADESELLWill any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?$14.9946m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$2.1857m ago
- TRADESELLWill Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.601h ago
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "My Father" or "Fred" this week? (April 20 - 26)$1.501h ago
- TRADESELLWill Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$8.601h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?$30.501h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$34.501h ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $15.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 2h ago
- Last active
- 1m ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.