Will Hunter Greene win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?
Probability
19¢
1h
+3.0pp
24h
+13.9pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$1.3K
Probability (last 7 days)
+4.6pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 14pp over 24h
Now 19¢; +3.0pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 4807h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 38.4¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 4806.8h
- 17:13SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 4807h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 34.4pp
to 40¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.7pp
to 19¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.4pp
to 16¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.2pp
to 10¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.9pp
to 14¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.4pp
to 16¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.1pp
to 16¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.8pp
to 16¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.7pp
to 31¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 26.3pp
to 32¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.0pp
to 27¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.6pp
to 18¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 19.8pp
to 25¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 17¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.3pp
to 6¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.6pp
to 6¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.7pp
to 6¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.7pp
to 5¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.1pp
to 6¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.7pp
to 6¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.8pp
to 5¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.2pp
to 5¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.2pp
to 5¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.8pp
to 5¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.4pp
to 6¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.6pp
to 6¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.7pp
to 5¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.3pp
to 5¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Cy Young Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Nov 12, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- consensus of credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (38.4¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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