Famous-Data
0x7e92cfc7e168190744c17fa88a14f0e5d57a395a
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
106
Open notional
$141.47
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$-54.25
Win rate
0%
81 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 106- YES
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
91 shares @ 10.6¢·now 43.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$39.42
$29.77
- YES
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
242 shares @ 12.0¢·now 15.8¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$38.06
$9.06
- YES
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
372 shares @ 26.9¢·now 7.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$26.22
$-73.78
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
117 shares @ 8.1¢·now 13.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.03
$6.58
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
34 shares @ 43.7¢·now 39.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$13.56
$-1.44
- YES
Blue tsunami in 2026?
14 shares @ 35.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$6.93
$1.93
- YES
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
192 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.25
$-1.25
- YES
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2917 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will Luis Javier Suárez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
862 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Aug 20, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 7, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 5, 02:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 3, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 2, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 1, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
53/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 81 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
8 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
81 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $64.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 12, 04:00 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 20, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 81 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.