Remorseful-Stability-Booster
0x7e9d01cb8074b099ea6ab18d4889339fbe8e8f38
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
43
Open notional
$205.61
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$36.89
Win rate
6%
33 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- YES
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
2500 shares @ 5.0¢·now 3.1¢·exp Oct 28, 2026$77.50
$-47.50
- YES
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
4699 shares @ 0.3¢·now 1.5¢·exp Oct 28, 2026$68.14
$53.93
- YES
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
8426 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.5¢·exp Oct 28, 2026$46.34
$29.49
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
50 shares @ 26.6¢·now 27.3¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$13.63
$0.33
- YES
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
105000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-239.93
- YES
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
103000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-126.84
- YES
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
30000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-29.97
- YES
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11000 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-287.99
- YES
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5000 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4653 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-83.56
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$29.79Jul 20, 06:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$19.85Jul 20, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$100.00Jul 19, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$29.11Jul 19, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYMikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals$33.09Jul 19, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$59.96Jul 19, 18:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$48.67Jul 16, 03:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$68.74Jul 15, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$51.45Jul 15, 02:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 15, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$493.21Jul 15, 00:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?$0.46Jul 13, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?$3.88Jul 13, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?$0.48Jul 13, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?$0.08Jul 13, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?$0.02Jul 13, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?$0.93Jul 13, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?$0.15Jul 13, 06:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
6% win rate over 33 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 38/100.
33 closed markets, 6% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $10.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 8, 14:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 06:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 33 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.