Failing-Challenge
0x7eb89b08c2e85fca25bc824bf46f7871324f902a
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$39.1K
Total PnL
$7.4K
Realised
$-121.72
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?
29701 shares @ 47.1¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$21.5K
$7.5K
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
11321 shares @ 59.7¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$8.8K
$2.0K
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?
9024 shares @ 32.8¢·now 65.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$5.9K
$2.9K
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6211 shares @ 16.1¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$996.89
$-3.10
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11494 shares @ 8.7¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$959.77
$-40.22
- YES
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
27273 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$368.18
$68.18
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
23333 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$338.33
$-11.64
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10417 shares @ 2.4¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$264.58
$14.59
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
62850 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-435.24
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
1905 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-800.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.23Jun 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jun 12, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$51.48Jun 11, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$51.48Jun 11, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$51.48Jun 11, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.0KJun 11, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$257.42Jun 11, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$257.39Jun 11, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$257.32Jun 11, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.0KJun 11, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)$50.76Jun 7, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYLos Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$100.99Jun 7, 13:09 UTC
- REDEEMLos Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$153.25Jun 6, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYLos Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$100.66Jun 5, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$138.46Jun 2, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$259.93Jun 2, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$24.95Jun 2, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$19.13Jun 2, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$10.09Jun 2, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$152.02May 30, 14:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $258.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 19:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.