0x7ec1a816c19ae9e2723cae72028e7e15c1a0a97a
0x7ec1a816c19ae9e2723cae72028e7e15c1a0a97a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-751.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-23?
535 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2025$0.00
$-379.85
- NO
Will Carney say "Trudeau" during Canadian Election Debate on April 17?
400 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2025$0.00
$-144.00
- NO
Will Elon tweet 250–274 times May 9–16?
270 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2025$0.00
$-197.10
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down – May 28 (10 AM ET Candle)
35 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2025$0.00
$-17.85
- NO
Will JD Vance say "Gold" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 28?
25 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2025$0.00
$-7.25
- MILAN
Coppa Italia Final: Milan vs. Bologna
5 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2025$0.00
$-2.70
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on April 14?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.05
- YES
Will the Steelers draft a QB in the first round of the 2025 NFL Draft?
5 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down – May 28 (10 AM ET Candle)$17.85May 28, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance say "Gold" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 28?$7.25May 28, 08:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down – May 28 (8 AM ET Candle)$25.00May 28, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down – May 28 (8 AM ET Candle)$25.00May 28, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down on May 27?$25.00May 28, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on May 27?$12.50May 26, 05:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during West Point Commencement on May 24?$10.00May 26, 03:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Dome" during West Point Commencement on May 24?$1.80May 24, 11:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Wolves vs. Brentford end in a draw?$1.25May 24, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Dome" during West Point Commencement on May 24?$1.45May 24, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during West Point Commencement on May 24?$7.90May 24, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wolves vs. Brentford end in a draw?$1.25May 24, 10:46 UTC
- TRADESELLIEM Dallas: Liquid vs. FaZe$9.40May 19, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIEM Dallas: Liquid vs. FaZe$9.20May 19, 09:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Susan Crawford win by 10% or more?$10.00May 19, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYCoppa Italia Final: Milan vs. Bologna$2.70May 14, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 250–274 times May 9–16?$18.25May 14, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 250–274 times May 9–16?$178.85May 14, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Steelers draft a QB in the first round of the 2025 NFL Draft?$1.20Apr 23, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win on 2025-04-23?$379.85Apr 22, 13:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $48.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 23, 09:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 10:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.