Noisy-Promise
0x7ed72a3367941b298e459b601908303b806d1ebc
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$41.73
Total PnL
$24.08
Realised
$0.83
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will ThreadGuy appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
84 shares @ 6.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$24.00
$18.95
- YES
Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?
74 shares @ 5.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$5.21
$1.49
- YES
Will Jimmy Gomez advance from the CA-34 primary election?
6 shares @ 90.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$4.98
$-0.03
- YES
Will Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$2.68
$1.68
- YES
Will Carlos Prates be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
12 shares @ 10.5¢·now 18.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.26
$1.00
- YES
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 3.50% and 3.99%?
10 shares @ 6.2¢·now 6.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2027$0.61
$-0.02
- YES
Will Chase Reid be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
7 shares @ 5.2¢·now 6.7¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.47
$0.10
- YES
Will Zachariah Wooden advance from the CA-07 primary election?
1 shares @ 11.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.35
$0.23
- YES
Will Lautaro Martinez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 5.6¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.21
$-0.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill ThreadGuy appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?$1.91May 18, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ThreadGuy appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?$2.51May 18, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ThreadGuy appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?$0.63May 18, 05:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?$4.26May 18, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?$0.26May 18, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 19?$0.06May 18, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 19?$0.06May 18, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 19?$0.99May 18, 00:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?$0.06May 18, 00:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?$0.06May 18, 00:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?$0.06May 18, 00:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?$0.06May 18, 00:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?$0.06May 18, 00:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?$0.06May 18, 00:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?$0.06May 18, 00:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?$0.06May 18, 00:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?$0.06May 18, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?$0.05May 18, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?$0.05May 18, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?$0.05May 18, 00:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 15:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".