Damp-Con
0x7ee59db8b87ffe021c7b7d04a1341eef8c47f44b
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$65.88
Total PnL
$-53.11
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
459 shares @ 10.9¢·now 7.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$33.72
$-16.28
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
62 shares @ 16.1¢·now 18.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$11.46
$1.46
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
59 shares @ 17.0¢·now 13.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.03
$-1.97
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 3.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.04
$2.04
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?
3 shares @ 89.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$2.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?
5 shares @ 58.3¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$2.96
$-0.04
- YES
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?
4 shares @ 48.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$1.94
$-0.06
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
1 shares @ 78.9¢·now 81.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?
4 shares @ 26.0¢·now 19.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.73
$-0.27
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
1100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-06-19?$3.33Jun 19, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$1.07Jun 19, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$1.07Jun 19, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$1.07Jun 19, 18:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$3.45Jun 19, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$1.05Jun 19, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$1.04Jun 19, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$5.31Jun 19, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$5.35Jun 19, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?$2.03Jun 19, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-19?$2.01Jun 19, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-19?$2.02Jun 19, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-19?$2.02Jun 19, 18:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-18?$2.08Jun 19, 03:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 19, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?$7.94Jun 18, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-19?$1.00Jun 18, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-19?$1.01Jun 18, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia win on 2026-06-18?$1.01Jun 18, 05:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Colombia win on 2026-06-17?$1.41Jun 18, 04:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $2.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 16:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 19, 21:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.