Decisive-Vane
0x7ef3d8a372108271445eddfdbe3a850fea2f93f5
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
40
Open notional
$115.45
Total PnL
$-240.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- NO
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?
93 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$92.50
$0.09
- NO
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
12 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$12.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Armenia Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?
11 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$10.94
$0.04
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
1543 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.09
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?
838 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.95
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 9?
785 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.57
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?
777 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-3.11
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 March 23-29?
755 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.51
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 2?
747 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.49
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 20?
738 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.35
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?$92.41May 31, 09:57 UTC
- REDEEMWorld Championships: Switzerland vs. Norway$8.43May 31, 09:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?$83.97May 31, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?$83.81May 30, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Championships: Switzerland vs. Norway$7.52May 30, 09:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rodina win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$90.91May 30, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rodina win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$91.00May 30, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Armenia Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?$10.90May 30, 08:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?$102.35May 30, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?$102.06May 29, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$12.00May 29, 09:28 UTC
- REDEEMRoland Garros WTA: Antonia Ruzic vs Madison Keys$8.72May 29, 09:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on May 28?$14.56May 29, 09:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?$90.78May 29, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?$90.61May 28, 08:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?$89.90May 28, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?$90.00May 28, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on May 28?$14.50May 28, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros WTA: Antonia Ruzic vs Madison Keys$7.53May 28, 08:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 27?$112.75May 28, 08:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $74.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 09:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 09:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.