Decisive-Vane
0x7ef3d8a372108271445eddfdbe3a850fea2f93f5
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
38
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-247.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
1543 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.09
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?
838 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.95
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 9?
785 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.57
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?
777 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-3.11
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 March 23-29?
755 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.51
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 2?
747 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.49
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 20?
738 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.35
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on March 26?
715 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.43
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 17?
675 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.35
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 2?
673 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.35
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-07-04?$7.12Jul 3, 11:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,450 Week of June 22 2026?$36.04Jul 3, 11:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $435 Week of June 22 2026?$79.08Jul 3, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,450 Week of June 22 2026?$36.00Jun 26, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $435 Week of June 22 2026?$79.00Jun 26, 10:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Armenia Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?$10.94Jun 26, 10:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$12.01Jun 26, 10:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?$92.50Jun 26, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?$92.41May 31, 09:57 UTC
- REDEEMWorld Championships: Switzerland vs. Norway$8.43May 31, 09:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?$83.97May 31, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?$83.81May 30, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Championships: Switzerland vs. Norway$7.52May 30, 09:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rodina win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$90.91May 30, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rodina win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$91.00May 30, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Armenia Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?$10.90May 30, 08:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?$102.35May 30, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?$102.06May 29, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$12.00May 29, 09:28 UTC
- REDEEMRoland Garros WTA: Antonia Ruzic vs Madison Keys$8.72May 29, 09:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $71.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 23, 04:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 11:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.