Opulent-Communicant
0x7f15f350261a0dfa8bff802df364e33773d552f1
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
55
Open notional
$6.0K
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$-26.89
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 55- YES
Will MrBeast hit 135 billion views by July 31?
4150 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.1K
$32.31
- NO
Will MrBeast hit 512 million subscribers by July 31?
612 shares @ 98.2¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$611.08
$10.10
- NO
Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?
490 shares @ 89.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$441.27
$4.90
- NO
Will MrBeast hit 136 billion views by July 31?
269 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$268.72
$0.13
- NO
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?
200 shares @ 85.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Oct 21, 2026$198.40
$28.40
- NO
Will MrBeast hit 135.5 billion views by July 31?
130 shares @ 93.7¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$128.96
$7.15
- NO
Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?
60 shares @ 95.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$51.90
$-5.10
- NO
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?
127 shares @ 44.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$51.44
$-4.45
- YES
Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?
114 shares @ 35.0¢·now 43.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$49.02
$9.12
- YES
Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
160 shares @ 5.1¢·now 3.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.59
$-2.56
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?$21.25Jul 29, 19:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?$15.19Jul 29, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?$57.44Jul 29, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?$41.20Jul 29, 17:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?$141.30Jul 29, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast hit 135 billion views by July 31?$499.00Jul 29, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast hit 135 billion views by July 31?$499.00Jul 29, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast hit 136 billion views by July 31?$268.59Jul 29, 12:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?$72.58Jul 29, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast hit 135 billion views by July 31?$573.77Jul 28, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast hit 135 billion views by July 31?$99.50Jul 28, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast hit 135 billion views by July 31?$398.00Jul 28, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast hit 135 billion views by July 31?$597.00Jul 28, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast hit 135.5 billion views by July 31?$120.05Jul 28, 13:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?$8.59Jul 28, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast hit 135 billion views by July 31?$538.47Jul 28, 07:07 UTC
- REWARD$3.64Jul 28, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast hit 512 million subscribers by July 31?$600.98Jul 27, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast hit 135 billion views by July 31?$895.83Jul 27, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast hit 135 billion views by July 31?$5.74Jul 27, 15:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
15/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $169.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 22:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 19:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.