Academic-Abbreviation
0x7f21b0353e2ef7d092d818bfc8c09a5f57c9fd1c
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$8.05
Total PnL
$-34.85
Realised
$0.21
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on July 1?
6 shares @ 49.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$4.70
$1.86
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 1?
5 shares @ 42.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.35
$-0.75
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on July 1?
6 shares @ 49.0¢·now 19.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.10
$-1.74
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in June 2026?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.90
$-0.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on May 14?
1006 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 25?
762 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 25?
197 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
14 shares @ 78.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 23?
6 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 4?
4 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 1?$2.10Jul 1, 01:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on July 1?$3.68Jun 30, 21:31 UTC
- REDEEMAmazon (AMZN) Up or Down on June 30?$1.25Jun 30, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYAmazon (AMZN) Up or Down on June 30?$1.01Jun 30, 17:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 30?$0.08Jun 30, 17:56 UTC
- TRADESELLSilver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 30?$1.30Jun 30, 17:56 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 30?$1.66Jun 30, 17:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on June 30?$5.76Jun 30, 17:21 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down on June 30?$5.70Jun 30, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on July 1?$2.84Jun 30, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on July 1?$2.94Jun 30, 16:14 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down on July 1?$5.13Jun 30, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on July 1?$1.22Jun 30, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on July 1?$2.84Jun 30, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on July 1?$2.84Jun 30, 16:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 30?$0.00Jun 30, 15:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 30?$1.18Jun 30, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 30?$1.41Jun 30, 14:24 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 30?$1.42Jun 30, 14:01 UTC
- TRADESELLNikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on June 30?$1.24Jun 30, 14:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 29, 09:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 01:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.